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Leon Liao's avatar

Excellent insights! I fully agree with the central insight of this excellent piece. China has seen these tactics many times before. But many Asian countries are still only beginning to understand how these networks operate.

But there is another side to this story. For all these years, East Asia, Central Asia, South Asia, and Southeast Asia have still avoided the kind of large-scale turmoil, war, and state collapse seen in parts of the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa. Why? One very important reason is the presence of China. The United States has been trying to create instability, but it has not been easy for Washington to succeed. Many Asian countries are also highly alert to these tactics. With a few exceptions, such as the Philippines and Japan, which have repeatedly chosen to stir up trouble, most countries in the region still prioritize development, stability, and peace. So yes, the United States will continue to create problems around China. But that does not mean it will be easy.

Of course, countries like Nepal, the Philippines, Indonesia, and India already have their own domestic problems: inequality, corruption, youth unemployment, ethnic tension, weak governance, and political fragmentation. The United States does not always need to create crises from scratch. More often, it waits for existing crises to appear, then uses NGOs, media networks, training programs, funding, diplomatic pressure, and international opinion to push those crises in a direction that serves American strategic interests.

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